Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

910 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
CZ Walks to Center Stage of Prediction Markets

CZ Walks to Center Stage of Prediction Markets

The post CZ Walks to Center Stage of Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) is rapidly expanding his influence in the prediction market space. He introduced a new prediction market on BNB Chain, while Trust Wallet, which he owns, added prediction trading features for its 220 million users. These developments continue BNB Chain’s October integrations with Polymarket and the launch of the Opinion mainnet. Together, these moves aim to position BNB Chain as a key hub for decentralized forecasting markets, following October’s record $7.4 billion in prediction market volumes. Sponsored CZ Highlights New Prediction Platform with a Disclaimer On December 4, CZ posted on X about a new prediction market launching on BNB Chain. He pointed out a key feature: user funds generate yield while awaiting outcomes. The platform is backed by YZiLabs (formerly Binance Labs), which manages over $10 billion in assets and has invested in more than 300 projects globally. Welcome a new prediction market on @BNBChain.When you make a prediction, you funds don’t sit idle, they generate yield. Disclaimer: Founder is ex-Binance (a few years ago).Incubated/invested by YZiLabs.This tweet is not endorsement. 🙏 https://t.co/E0fxxKc3eE — CZ 🔶 BNB (@cz_binance) December 3, 2025 Although CZ promoted the platform, he included a disclaimer. He clarified that the founder was a former Binance employee and stressed the post was not an official endorsement. Despite this, the platform’s homepage features his image alongside public figures like Donald Trump and Faker, highlighting the promotional value of his involvement. In October, YZiLabs announced a $1 billion fund dedicated to the BNB ecosystem. It focuses on DeFi, real-world asset tokenization, wallets, AI, and payments. The fund has already supported over 65 projects, helping drive BNB Chain’s development. Trust Wallet Launches Prediction Trading for Millions of Users Just one day before CZ’s update, Trust Wallet released its Predictions feature, with Web3 prediction market protocol…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Game-Changer: Fanatics and Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform

Game-Changer: Fanatics and Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform

BitcoinWorld Game-Changer: Fanatics and Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform Get ready to place your bets on the future of everything. In a major move blending sports, finance, and digital assets, sports merchandise giant Fanatics has teamed up with crypto exchange leader Crypto.com to launch Fanatics Markets. This new prediction market platform lets users trade on the outcomes of real-world events, marking a significant evolution […] This post Game-Changer: Fanatics and Crypto.com Launch Revolutionary Prediction Market Platform first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Fanatics unveils prediction market platform Fanatics Markets with Crypto.com partnership

Fanatics unveils prediction market platform Fanatics Markets with Crypto.com partnership

The post Fanatics unveils prediction market platform Fanatics Markets with Crypto.com partnership appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Fanatics has launched Fanatics Markets, a prediction market platform offering contracts in sports, finance, and culture. The platform partners with Crypto.com’s CFTC-registered exchange to provide institutional-grade trading across 24 states. Global digital sports company Fanatics has introduced Fanatics Markets, a prediction market platform that lets users trade on outcomes across sports, finance, politics, and culture, according to a Wednesday announcement. Fanatics has spent years building products that deepen fan engagement across everything from apparel to gaming. With Fanatics Markets, the company looks to offer a secure, intuitive platform where users can weigh in on key moments in sports and culture, CEO Matt King said in a statement. “With Fanatics Markets, we’re giving fans a safe and intuitive way to engage with the moments that move sports and culture, and to pick a side and profit along the way if their prediction is correct,” King stated. Fanatics Markets, which uses markets and pricing from Crypto.com Derivatives North America, provides tools and protection for users to interact safely with predictions. The platform is now available on iOS and Android, and is accessible across 24 states, including California, Texas, Florida, and Washington. “Crypto.com was the first to launch sports prediction markets, and our reach continues to grow through innovative partnerships with top-tier platforms such as Fanatics,” said Travis McGhee, Global Head of Predictions at Crypto.com. “We could not be more proud to be the partner of choice for Fanatics, and together we will provide fans with a safe and compliant way to access prediction markets.” Fanatics entered the space after acquiring Paragon Global Markets, a CFTC-registered introducing broker, in July 2025. The company plans to launch its prediction marketplace in other states in the future. Today’s launch covers event contracts on sports and macro events, with an expansion next year into…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Bitcoin’s rally now hinges on “shadow chair” bet that demands violent, immediate dollar collapse

Bitcoin’s rally now hinges on “shadow chair” bet that demands violent, immediate dollar collapse

The post Bitcoin’s rally now hinges on “shadow chair” bet that demands violent, immediate dollar collapse appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin’s recent rebound came as traders raised the probability of a December Federal Reserve rate cut, the dollar eased, and attention turned to who will lead the central bank after Jerome Powell’s term ends in 2026. Futures markets moved the odds of a 25-basis-point cut this month into the mid-to-high 80% range, a shift that loosened financial conditions and coincided with a ninth straight daily decline in the dollar. The move helped pull BTC out of the $84,000–$87,000 range back toward $93,000 after a volatile November that saw leveraged crypto products and proxy equities whipsawed. Spot levels hovered near $92,300 in mid-week trading while the 10-year Treasury yield held around 4.1%, a backdrop that has historically aligned with risk-on positioning across crypto. Fed “shadow chair” speculation adds a fresh catalyst The policy narrative added a second catalyst. According to Reuters, President Trump plans to name his nominee for Fed chair in early 2026, ahead of Powell’s term ending on May 15, 2026. Reporting points to former White House economist, and former Coinbase advisor, Kevin Hassett as the leading candidate, with Fed Governor Christopher Waller, Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, former Governor Kevin Warsh, and BlackRock’s Rick Rieder also discussed. Prediction-market pricing tilted toward Hassett as traders mapped a potentially easier policy path next year, though any nominee would not affect actual votes until confirmation and seating. Fed chair nomination betting (Source: Polymarket) The Federal Reserve notes that Powell’s current chair term runs through May 2026, and he may remain a governor until Jan. 31, 2028. The sequencing matters for Bitcoin because the effect before mid-2026 is driven by expectations and financial conditions rather than by near-term policy changes. Markets already pushed toward an easier stance as the probability of a December cut rose, the dollar weakened, and long yields…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Connecticut Orders Kalshi, Robinhood, Crypto.com to Cease Sports Betting

Connecticut Orders Kalshi, Robinhood, Crypto.com to Cease Sports Betting

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Author: Coindesk
Kalshi Partners With CNN as Official Prediction Market Provider

Kalshi Partners With CNN as Official Prediction Market Provider

The post Kalshi Partners With CNN as Official Prediction Market Provider appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi announces data integration with CNN as official prediction market partner. Partnership includes a new Kalshi-powered ticker during CNN programming segments. Kalshi topped November’s market with $4.5B in trades, surpassing Polymarket’s $3.75B. Kalshi announced a data integration partnership with CNN, becoming the network’s official prediction markets partner. The federally regulated exchange will provide real-time event probability data across CNN programming and newsroom operations. The platform operates as the world’s largest regulated prediction market exchange, allowing users to trade on outcomes of elections, weather events, cultural moments, and political developments. Kalshi called the NYC mayoral election eight minutes after polls closed, hours before traditional media outlets. Integration Spans Programming and Newsroom Access The partnership includes integration of Kalshi data across CNN programming led by CNN Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten. Enten translates polling and data analysis for CNN audiences and will now incorporate real-time prediction market information to inform reporting and fact-checking. A new Kalshi-powered real-time news ticker will run during segments featuring prediction market data. CNN’s newsroom, data, and production teams will receive access to Kalshi’s political, news, and cultural data for developing storylines and visual presentations. Kalshi positions the partnership as complementary to CNN’s reporting by surfacing credible information about real-time probabilities of future events. Journalists can use prediction market data to provide audiences with market-based forecasts alongside traditional analysis and polling. Kalshi Leads by Trading Volume The exchange prediction market sector by trading volume over the past 30 days. Kalshi achieved over $4.5 billion in trading volume during November 2025, compared to Polymarket’s $3.75 billion.  Kalshi raised $1 billion in November 2025 at an $11 billion valuation. Sequoia Capital and CapitalG led the funding round, with participation from Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, Anthos Capital, and Neo. The round came less than two months after a $300 million raise at…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Becomes CNN’s Prediction Market Partner as Polymarket Relaunches in the US

Kalshi Becomes CNN’s Prediction Market Partner as Polymarket Relaunches in the US

CNN has selected Kalshi as its official prediction markets partner, integrating real-time probabilities across TV and digital platforms as both Kalshi and Polymarket compete for mainstream media dominance. The post Kalshi Becomes CNN’s Prediction Market Partner as Polymarket Relaunches in the US appeared first on Coinspeaker.

Author: Coinspeaker
CNN Adds Kalshi Live Forecasts

CNN Adds Kalshi Live Forecasts

The post CNN Adds Kalshi Live Forecasts appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. As part of a broader push toward data-driven journalism, CNN is integrating prediction markets into its broadcasts to frame complex stories with up-to-the-minute probabilities. CNN and Kalshi bring live forecasts into the newsroom Through a recent blog post, Kalshi disclosed that a new agreement embeds its real-time forecasts directly into CNN content and internal newsroom tools. The company said the integration delivers consistent access to evolving event probabilities that align with the network’s fast-paced reporting style. CNN confirmed that its internal data team will pull Kalshi feeds during live segments across major programs. Moreover, producers will use the probabilities to present clear, on-screen updates for complicated stories where odds shift quickly as new information arrives. Political analyst Harry Enten will oversee the rollout of the Kalshi systems and ensure the forecasts remain consistent across shows. He said the tools offer teams fast access to emerging trend signals, which can be surfaced within seconds while anchors are on air. Kalshi states that users in both business and politics rely on its markets for forward-looking insights. However, it also notes that demand for simple, digestible event forecasts is rising across other sectors, from policy to macroeconomics. CNN plans to deploy a dedicated live probability ticker that will display Kalshi updates during selected reports. The ticker is expected to highlight quick shifts in event odds as stories develop in real time, helping viewers interpret changing expectations alongside traditional news coverage. Rising adoption of prediction platforms in finance and media Interest in event-based trading platforms has accelerated this year as multiple operators expanded their user bases. Kalshi and Polymarket reported that their combined volumes have exceeded forty-five billion dollars in activity, underscoring how speculative markets now intersect with news and finance. Major financial outlets increasingly embed prediction data into their dashboards and tools. For…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto Market Recap, November 2025 by CryptoRank

Crypto Market Recap, November 2025 by CryptoRank

The post Crypto Market Recap, November 2025 by CryptoRank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. November has shaped up to be one of the most negative months for the crypto market in the past three years. In this recap, we break down the key reasons behind this downturn, examine whether it affected core on-chain metrics, and highlight the projects that continue to see rising activity despite the broader market decline. One of The Longest US Shutdowns Hitted Crypto Hard The main macro event shaping markets in early November was the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which by the start of the month had already lasted longer than usual. This not only elevated market fear but also translated into real economic losses, as a large share of federal employees were placed on unpaid leave, slowing down actual economic activity. Interestingly, equities showed stronger resilience than Bitcoin. The S&P 500 fell less during the month and had recovered to its early-November levels by month-end. Bitcoin, however, posted its second-worst monthly performance in the past three years. Gold moved in the opposite direction, rallying 7% and reclaiming the levels lost during October’s decline. Additional pressure on Bitcoin and the broader crypto market comes from the growing risk of a correction in the S&P 500, which is up 16% year-to-date and appears overheated according to several major indicators—such as the GDP-to-market-cap ratio. Under current conditions, an equity correction could trigger an even sharper move in crypto, especially as the two markets have become increasingly interconnected through ETFs and DATs. Speaking of DATs, some market participants highlight a potential “black swan” scenario: the bankruptcy of one of the DAT issuers, which could trigger a cascade of liquidations. For now, however, this remains purely hypothetical rather than an imminent risk. Bitcoin Bitcoin’s weaker performance compared to the S&P 500 suggests fading enthusiasm for the asset. Market sentiment on Twitter further reflects this…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Fanatics launches prediction market in 24 states

Fanatics launches prediction market in 24 states

The post Fanatics launches prediction market in 24 states appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Online gambling has expanded rapidly in the US since 2018, when the Supreme Court freed states to legalize sports betting. Gabby Jones | Bloomberg | Getty Images Sports merchandiser Fanatics announced Wednesday it’s launching Fanatics Markets, its own prediction market, in 24 states this week, including California, Texas, Florida and Washington. The platform will allow people to trade on events in sports, finance and culture, according to Fanatics, and will launch in segments across the country over the next several days. The first phase, launching Wednesday in 10 states includes contracts for sports, finance, economics and politics. Early next year, Fanatics will expand into contracts for crypto, stocks, tech, music and more, it said. “For years, Fanatics has given fans new ways to enhance their fandom through team merchandise, collectibles, tickets, gaming, events and more,” Fanatics Betting and Gaming CEO Matt King said in a statement. “Now, with Fanatics Markets, we’re giving fans a safe, and intuitive way to engage with the moments that move sports and culture, and to pick a side and profit along the way if their prediction is correct.” Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have exploded in popularity on the back of legalized online sports betting. That’s led sportsbooks and others in the industry to set up their own event contract platforms. DraftKings announced its entry into the prediction markets in October through an acquisition of Railbird. Flutter-owned FanDuel announced in November it would be unveiling a prediction markets platform in partnership with CME Group to launch this month. Fanatics CEO Michael Rubin told CNBC last month that the company would be entering the prediction markets environment. The prediction market’s pricing will be offered by Crypto.com, Fanatics said, and customers can use a shared wallet to access the entire Fanatics ecosystem. They’ll also be able…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews