The crypto market is down today and by a significantly higher percentage than over the past few days, with the cryptocurrency market capitalisation decreasing by 5.6%, now standing at $3.38 trillion. 96 of the top 100 coins have dropped over the past 24 hours. At the same time, the total crypto trading volume is at $254 billion. TLDR: The crypto market capitalisation is down by 5.6% on Friday morning (UTC); 96 of the top 100 coins and all top 10 coins are down today; BTC decreased by 6.2% to $97,033, and ETH fell by 9.2% to $3,208; ’Bitcoin appears to be fighting one battle after another’; The real test could be the interest rate decision in the US on 10 December; Crypto and tech stocks are diverging; ’Despite recent price movement, 2025 has been the year of institutional investment into digital assets’; ’Bitcoin DeFi is poised to be at the forefront of the global financial system – from Wall Street to Main Street’; US BTC spot ETFs saw a whopping $869.86 million in outflows on Thursday, and ETH ETFs let go of $259.72 million; Canary Capital’s XRPC, the first US spot XRP ETF, made its debut on Thursday; Crypto market sentiment drops again within the fear territory. Crypto Winners & Losers At the time of writing, all top 10 coins per market capitalization have seen their prices decrease over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped by 6.2% since this time yesterday, currently trading at $97,033. Bitcoin (BTC) 24h7d30d1yAll time Ethereum (ETH) is down by 9.2%, now changing hands at $3,208. This, along with Lido Staked Ether (STETH), is the highest fall in the category. Solana (SOL) is in in the second place, having dropped 8.6% to the price of $142. The smallest fall is 2.3% by Tron (TRX), which now stands at $0.2927. When it comes to the top 100 coins, only four are green. Among these, Zcash (ZEC) appreciated the most, rising to the price of $507. Leo Token (LEO) follows with a 2% rise to $9.17. On the other hand, three coins saw double-digit drops. Story (IP) fell 15%, now trading at $3.34. It’s followed by Aave (AAVE)’s 13.6% and Hedera (HBAR)’s 10.4% to $185 and $0.1606, respectively. ‘Bitcoin Appears To Be Fighting One Battle After Another’ Nic Puckrin, crypto analyst and co-founder of The Coin Bureau, argues that the “crypto market has been struggling to regain momentum since October’s pandemonium.” “Bitcoin appears to be fighting one battle after another, dragged down by US dollar strength and higher Treasury yields, long-term holders selling, and macro uncertainty,” he says. Puckrin finds it “unsettling” to see crypto and tech stocks diverging when they typically move in lockstep. This dynamic shows that BTC “isn’t just a proxy for the Nasdaq.” Rather, it’s more sensitive to macro headwinds and liquidity concerns and is “perfectly positioned to break out once those concerns dissipate.” Notably, as the US re-opens and data starts flooding back in, “we may see the BTC price wobble over the coming weeks.” The real test could be the interest rate decision in the US on 10 December. Still, “it remains likely that the news will be positive, which could set the stage for a Santa rally in crypto and other risk assets,” Puckrin concludes. Moreover, Dom Harz, co-founder of BOB, commented on institutional involvement in BTC as the coin’s price drops below $100,000. “Despite recent price movement, 2025 has been the year of institutional investment into digital assets, with institutions now holding over 4 million BTC,” Harz writes in an email commentary. These institutions are “increasingly looking to store excess cash in DeFi vaults for higher-yield opportunities. These two movements are converging with Bitcoin DeFi; moving the world’s biggest digital asset beyond a store of value and into a yield-generating asset. “ He continues: “As this mainstream appetite for DeFi grows, serious technological advancements are unlocking Bitcoin’s utility. Key players in institutional crypto and Bitcoin DeFi adoption are opening up access to BTCFi, where institutions can leverage yield-bearing opportunities for their BTC holdings. Bitcoin DeFi is poised to be at the forefront of the global financial system – from Wall Street to Main Street.” Levels & Events to Watch Next At the time of writing on Friday morning, BTC fell below the $100,000 mark and to the $96,000 level, now standing at $97,033. The coin has dropped from the intraday high of $103,737 to the low of $96,170. It’s now down 4.7% in a week, 13.7% in a month, and 22.9% from its all-time high. We may see BTC pull back towards $94,500 and further towards the $90,000 level. A higher plunge could drag it lower. Conversely, if there is a change in course, the coin could climb back above $100,000 and move towards $103,000.Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: TradingView Ethereum is currently changing hands at $3,208. It plunged from today’s high of $3,545 to the currently lowest point of $3,126. Over this past week, it has been trading between $3,172 and $3,633. ETH is down 4.3% in a day, 22.2% in a month, and 35.1% from its ATH. ETH may continue dropping today and over the next few days. Should that happen, it could retreat below the $3,000 level – far from the near-$5,000 zone where it stood just weeks ago. If there is a market rebound, the coin could return to the $3,500 territory and potentially $3,650. Ethereum (ETH) 24h7d30d1yAll time Meanwhile, the crypto market sentiment has decreased again, holding firmly to the fear zone and moving to extreme fear. The crypto fear and greed index fell from 25 yesterday to 22 today. Some investors are selling assets, driven by fear and worry over the continuously falling prices. If the market continues to ride this instability, it may decline further. However, if assets are oversold, as high fear can sometimes indicate, the market could potentially see a rebound. Undervalued prices could also present a potential buying opportunity.Source: CoinMarketCap ETFs See Significant Outflows On Thursday, the US BTC spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded $869.86 million in outflows, the highest since February 2025 and the second-highest on record. The total net inflow is back down to $60.21 billion, but it still stands above $60 billion. Ten of the 12 BTC ETFs recorded negative flows, and there were no positive flows. Grayscale let go of $256.64 million. It’s followed by BlackRock’s $256.64 million. One more triple-digit is $119.93 million by Fidelity.Source: SoSoValue At the same time, the US ETH ETFs continued their outflow streak, recording another $259.72 million leaving on 13 November. The total net inflow pulled back to $13.31 billion. Five of the nine funds recorded outflows. There were no positive flows. BlackRock is the reddest among these, letting go of $137.31 million. Grayscale follows with $67.91 in outflows.Source: SoSoValue Meanwhile, Canary Capital’s XRPC, the first US spot exchange-traded fund offering direct exposure to XRP, made its debut on Thursday with $58 million in trading volume. Such notable opening performance indicates that there is a rising institutional appetite for exposure to other major assets, besides BTC and ETH. Quick FAQ Why did crypto move against stocks today? The crypto market has decreased again over the past day, and the stock market closed sharply lower on Thursday, dragged by technology shares. By the closing time on 13 November, the S&P 500 was down by 1.66%, the Nasdaq-100 decreased by 2.05%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.65%. Is this drop sustainable? The market may see an extended downturn over the next few days as investors’ worries persist. However, should there be macroeconomic and/or geopolitical signals that would ease these concerns and reassure investors, the market could see a rebound. You may also like: (LIVE) Crypto News Today: Latest Updates for November 14, 2025 Crypto markets slid sharply on Nov. 14, with BTC dropping below $100,000 and ETH plunging more than 6%, as most major sectors posted 2–7% losses. NFTs, Layer 1s, DeFi, CeFi, and Meme tokens all traded lower, though pockets of strength emerged in STRK, MOG, and TEL. Despite the broad downturn, on-chain flows suggest institutions may be accumulating: Anchorage Digital has received 4,094 BTC (≈$405M) over the past nine hours from Coinbase, Cumberland, Galaxy Digital, and Wintermute, hinting that... The crypto market is down today and by a significantly higher percentage than over the past few days, with the cryptocurrency market capitalisation decreasing by 5.6%, now standing at $3.38 trillion. 96 of the top 100 coins have dropped over the past 24 hours. At the same time, the total crypto trading volume is at $254 billion. TLDR: The crypto market capitalisation is down by 5.6% on Friday morning (UTC); 96 of the top 100 coins and all top 10 coins are down today; BTC decreased by 6.2% to $97,033, and ETH fell by 9.2% to $3,208; ’Bitcoin appears to be fighting one battle after another’; The real test could be the interest rate decision in the US on 10 December; Crypto and tech stocks are diverging; ’Despite recent price movement, 2025 has been the year of institutional investment into digital assets’; ’Bitcoin DeFi is poised to be at the forefront of the global financial system – from Wall Street to Main Street’; US BTC spot ETFs saw a whopping $869.86 million in outflows on Thursday, and ETH ETFs let go of $259.72 million; Canary Capital’s XRPC, the first US spot XRP ETF, made its debut on Thursday; Crypto market sentiment drops again within the fear territory. Crypto Winners & Losers At the time of writing, all top 10 coins per market capitalization have seen their prices decrease over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped by 6.2% since this time yesterday, currently trading at $97,033. Bitcoin (BTC) 24h7d30d1yAll time Ethereum (ETH) is down by 9.2%, now changing hands at $3,208. This, along with Lido Staked Ether (STETH), is the highest fall in the category. Solana (SOL) is in in the second place, having dropped 8.6% to the price of $142. The smallest fall is 2.3% by Tron (TRX), which now stands at $0.2927. When it comes to the top 100 coins, only four are green. Among these, Zcash (ZEC) appreciated the most, rising to the price of $507. Leo Token (LEO) follows with a 2% rise to $9.17. On the other hand, three coins saw double-digit drops. Story (IP) fell 15%, now trading at $3.34. It’s followed by Aave (AAVE)’s 13.6% and Hedera (HBAR)’s 10.4% to $185 and $0.1606, respectively. ‘Bitcoin Appears To Be Fighting One Battle After Another’ Nic Puckrin, crypto analyst and co-founder of The Coin Bureau, argues that the “crypto market has been struggling to regain momentum since October’s pandemonium.” “Bitcoin appears to be fighting one battle after another, dragged down by US dollar strength and higher Treasury yields, long-term holders selling, and macro uncertainty,” he says. Puckrin finds it “unsettling” to see crypto and tech stocks diverging when they typically move in lockstep. This dynamic shows that BTC “isn’t just a proxy for the Nasdaq.” Rather, it’s more sensitive to macro headwinds and liquidity concerns and is “perfectly positioned to break out once those concerns dissipate.” Notably, as the US re-opens and data starts flooding back in, “we may see the BTC price wobble over the coming weeks.” The real test could be the interest rate decision in the US on 10 December. Still, “it remains likely that the news will be positive, which could set the stage for a Santa rally in crypto and other risk assets,” Puckrin concludes. Moreover, Dom Harz, co-founder of BOB, commented on institutional involvement in BTC as the coin’s price drops below $100,000. “Despite recent price movement, 2025 has been the year of institutional investment into digital assets, with institutions now holding over 4 million BTC,” Harz writes in an email commentary. These institutions are “increasingly looking to store excess cash in DeFi vaults for higher-yield opportunities. These two movements are converging with Bitcoin DeFi; moving the world’s biggest digital asset beyond a store of value and into a yield-generating asset. “ He continues: “As this mainstream appetite for DeFi grows, serious technological advancements are unlocking Bitcoin’s utility. Key players in institutional crypto and Bitcoin DeFi adoption are opening up access to BTCFi, where institutions can leverage yield-bearing opportunities for their BTC holdings. Bitcoin DeFi is poised to be at the forefront of the global financial system – from Wall Street to Main Street.” Levels & Events to Watch Next At the time of writing on Friday morning, BTC fell below the $100,000 mark and to the $96,000 level, now standing at $97,033. The coin has dropped from the intraday high of $103,737 to the low of $96,170. It’s now down 4.7% in a week, 13.7% in a month, and 22.9% from its all-time high. We may see BTC pull back towards $94,500 and further towards the $90,000 level. A higher plunge could drag it lower. Conversely, if there is a change in course, the coin could climb back above $100,000 and move towards $103,000.Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: TradingView Ethereum is currently changing hands at $3,208. It plunged from today’s high of $3,545 to the currently lowest point of $3,126. Over this past week, it has been trading between $3,172 and $3,633. ETH is down 4.3% in a day, 22.2% in a month, and 35.1% from its ATH. ETH may continue dropping today and over the next few days. Should that happen, it could retreat below the $3,000 level – far from the near-$5,000 zone where it stood just weeks ago. If there is a market rebound, the coin could return to the $3,500 territory and potentially $3,650. Ethereum (ETH) 24h7d30d1yAll time Meanwhile, the crypto market sentiment has decreased again, holding firmly to the fear zone and moving to extreme fear. The crypto fear and greed index fell from 25 yesterday to 22 today. Some investors are selling assets, driven by fear and worry over the continuously falling prices. If the market continues to ride this instability, it may decline further. However, if assets are oversold, as high fear can sometimes indicate, the market could potentially see a rebound. Undervalued prices could also present a potential buying opportunity.Source: CoinMarketCap ETFs See Significant Outflows On Thursday, the US BTC spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded $869.86 million in outflows, the highest since February 2025 and the second-highest on record. The total net inflow is back down to $60.21 billion, but it still stands above $60 billion. Ten of the 12 BTC ETFs recorded negative flows, and there were no positive flows. Grayscale let go of $256.64 million. It’s followed by BlackRock’s $256.64 million. One more triple-digit is $119.93 million by Fidelity.Source: SoSoValue At the same time, the US ETH ETFs continued their outflow streak, recording another $259.72 million leaving on 13 November. The total net inflow pulled back to $13.31 billion. Five of the nine funds recorded outflows. There were no positive flows. BlackRock is the reddest among these, letting go of $137.31 million. Grayscale follows with $67.91 in outflows.Source: SoSoValue Meanwhile, Canary Capital’s XRPC, the first US spot exchange-traded fund offering direct exposure to XRP, made its debut on Thursday with $58 million in trading volume. Such notable opening performance indicates that there is a rising institutional appetite for exposure to other major assets, besides BTC and ETH. Quick FAQ Why did crypto move against stocks today? The crypto market has decreased again over the past day, and the stock market closed sharply lower on Thursday, dragged by technology shares. By the closing time on 13 November, the S&P 500 was down by 1.66%, the Nasdaq-100 decreased by 2.05%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.65%. Is this drop sustainable? The market may see an extended downturn over the next few days as investors’ worries persist. However, should there be macroeconomic and/or geopolitical signals that would ease these concerns and reassure investors, the market could see a rebound. You may also like: (LIVE) Crypto News Today: Latest Updates for November 14, 2025 Crypto markets slid sharply on Nov. 14, with BTC dropping below $100,000 and ETH plunging more than 6%, as most major sectors posted 2–7% losses. NFTs, Layer 1s, DeFi, CeFi, and Meme tokens all traded lower, though pockets of strength emerged in STRK, MOG, and TEL. Despite the broad downturn, on-chain flows suggest institutions may be accumulating: Anchorage Digital has received 4,094 BTC (≈$405M) over the past nine hours from Coinbase, Cumberland, Galaxy Digital, and Wintermute, hinting that...

Why Is Crypto Down Today? – November 14, 2025

2025/11/14 20:11

The crypto market is down today and by a significantly higher percentage than over the past few days, with the cryptocurrency market capitalisation decreasing by 5.6%, now standing at $3.38 trillion. 96 of the top 100 coins have dropped over the past 24 hours. At the same time, the total crypto trading volume is at $254 billion.

TLDR:
  • The crypto market capitalisation is down by 5.6% on Friday morning (UTC);
  • 96 of the top 100 coins and all top 10 coins are down today;
  • BTC decreased by 6.2% to $97,033, and ETH fell by 9.2% to $3,208;
  • ’Bitcoin appears to be fighting one battle after another’;
  • The real test could be the interest rate decision in the US on 10 December;
  • Crypto and tech stocks are diverging;
  • ’Despite recent price movement, 2025 has been the year of institutional investment into digital assets’;
  • ’Bitcoin DeFi is poised to be at the forefront of the global financial system – from Wall Street to Main Street’;
  • US BTC spot ETFs saw a whopping $869.86 million in outflows on Thursday, and ETH ETFs let go of $259.72 million;
  • Canary Capital’s XRPC, the first US spot XRP ETF, made its debut on Thursday;
  • Crypto market sentiment drops again within the fear territory.

Crypto Winners & Losers

At the time of writing, all top 10 coins per market capitalization have seen their prices decrease over the past 24 hours.

Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped by 6.2% since this time yesterday, currently trading at $97,033.

Bitcoin (BTC)
24h7d30d1yAll time

Ethereum (ETH) is down by 9.2%, now changing hands at $3,208. This, along with Lido Staked Ether (STETH), is the highest fall in the category.

Solana (SOL) is in in the second place, having dropped 8.6% to the price of $142.

The smallest fall is 2.3% by Tron (TRX), which now stands at $0.2927.

When it comes to the top 100 coins, only four are green. Among these, Zcash (ZEC) appreciated the most, rising to the price of $507.

Leo Token (LEO) follows with a 2% rise to $9.17.

On the other hand, three coins saw double-digit drops. Story (IP) fell 15%, now trading at $3.34.

It’s followed by Aave (AAVE)’s 13.6% and Hedera (HBAR)’s 10.4% to $185 and $0.1606, respectively.

‘Bitcoin Appears To Be Fighting One Battle After Another’

Nic Puckrin, crypto analyst and co-founder of The Coin Bureau, argues that the “crypto market has been struggling to regain momentum since October’s pandemonium.”

“Bitcoin appears to be fighting one battle after another, dragged down by US dollar strength and higher Treasury yields, long-term holders selling, and macro uncertainty,” he says.

Puckrin finds it “unsettling” to see crypto and tech stocks diverging when they typically move in lockstep. This dynamic shows that BTC “isn’t just a proxy for the Nasdaq.”

Rather, it’s more sensitive to macro headwinds and liquidity concerns and is “perfectly positioned to break out once those concerns dissipate.”

Notably, as the US re-opens and data starts flooding back in, “we may see the BTC price wobble over the coming weeks.”

The real test could be the interest rate decision in the US on 10 December. Still, “it remains likely that the news will be positive, which could set the stage for a Santa rally in crypto and other risk assets,” Puckrin concludes.

Moreover, Dom Harz, co-founder of BOB, commented on institutional involvement in BTC as the coin’s price drops below $100,000.

“Despite recent price movement, 2025 has been the year of institutional investment into digital assets, with institutions now holding over 4 million BTC,” Harz writes in an email commentary.

These institutions are “increasingly looking to store excess cash in DeFi vaults for higher-yield opportunities. These two movements are converging with Bitcoin DeFi; moving the world’s biggest digital asset beyond a store of value and into a yield-generating asset. “

He continues: “As this mainstream appetite for DeFi grows, serious technological advancements are unlocking Bitcoin’s utility. Key players in institutional crypto and Bitcoin DeFi adoption are opening up access to BTCFi, where institutions can leverage yield-bearing opportunities for their BTC holdings. Bitcoin DeFi is poised to be at the forefront of the global financial system – from Wall Street to Main Street.”

Levels & Events to Watch Next

At the time of writing on Friday morning, BTC fell below the $100,000 mark and to the $96,000 level, now standing at $97,033.

The coin has dropped from the intraday high of $103,737 to the low of $96,170. It’s now down 4.7% in a week, 13.7% in a month, and 22.9% from its all-time high.

We may see BTC pull back towards $94,500 and further towards the $90,000 level. A higher plunge could drag it lower. Conversely, if there is a change in course, the coin could climb back above $100,000 and move towards $103,000.

Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: TradingView

Ethereum is currently changing hands at $3,208. It plunged from today’s high of $3,545 to the currently lowest point of $3,126.

Over this past week, it has been trading between $3,172 and $3,633. ETH is down 4.3% in a day, 22.2% in a month, and 35.1% from its ATH.

ETH may continue dropping today and over the next few days. Should that happen, it could retreat below the $3,000 level – far from the near-$5,000 zone where it stood just weeks ago. If there is a market rebound, the coin could return to the $3,500 territory and potentially $3,650.

Ethereum (ETH)
24h7d30d1yAll time

Meanwhile, the crypto market sentiment has decreased again, holding firmly to the fear zone and moving to extreme fear. The crypto fear and greed index fell from 25 yesterday to 22 today.

Some investors are selling assets, driven by fear and worry over the continuously falling prices. If the market continues to ride this instability, it may decline further.

However, if assets are oversold, as high fear can sometimes indicate, the market could potentially see a rebound. Undervalued prices could also present a potential buying opportunity.

Source: CoinMarketCap

ETFs See Significant Outflows

On Thursday, the US BTC spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded $869.86 million in outflows, the highest since February 2025 and the second-highest on record. The total net inflow is back down to $60.21 billion, but it still stands above $60 billion.

Ten of the 12 BTC ETFs recorded negative flows, and there were no positive flows. Grayscale let go of $256.64 million. It’s followed by BlackRock’s $256.64 million. One more triple-digit is $119.93 million by Fidelity.

Source: SoSoValue

At the same time, the US ETH ETFs continued their outflow streak, recording another $259.72 million leaving on 13 November. The total net inflow pulled back to $13.31 billion.

Five of the nine funds recorded outflows. There were no positive flows. BlackRock is the reddest among these, letting go of $137.31 million. Grayscale follows with $67.91 in outflows.

Source: SoSoValue

Meanwhile, Canary Capital’s XRPC, the first US spot exchange-traded fund offering direct exposure to XRP, made its debut on Thursday with $58 million in trading volume.

Such notable opening performance indicates that there is a rising institutional appetite for exposure to other major assets, besides BTC and ETH.

Quick FAQ

  1. Why did crypto move against stocks today?

The crypto market has decreased again over the past day, and the stock market closed sharply lower on Thursday, dragged by technology shares. By the closing time on 13 November, the S&P 500 was down by 1.66%, the Nasdaq-100 decreased by 2.05%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.65%.

  1. Is this drop sustainable?

The market may see an extended downturn over the next few days as investors’ worries persist. However, should there be macroeconomic and/or geopolitical signals that would ease these concerns and reassure investors, the market could see a rebound.

You may also like:
(LIVE) Crypto News Today: Latest Updates for November 14, 2025
Crypto markets slid sharply on Nov. 14, with BTC dropping below $100,000 and ETH plunging more than 6%, as most major sectors posted 2–7% losses. NFTs, Layer 1s, DeFi, CeFi, and Meme tokens all traded lower, though pockets of strength emerged in STRK, MOG, and TEL. Despite the broad downturn, on-chain flows suggest institutions may be accumulating: Anchorage Digital has received 4,094 BTC (≈$405M) over the past nine hours from Coinbase, Cumberland, Galaxy Digital, and Wintermute, hinting that...
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Crypto On Alert: Raoul Pal Hints At Macro Twist Post-US Govt Shutdown

Crypto On Alert: Raoul Pal Hints At Macro Twist Post-US Govt Shutdown

As the latest US government shutdown ends and markets refocus on macro plumbing, Raoul Pal has sketched out a strikingly liquidity-heavy roadmap on X – one that, in his framework, has direct implications for crypto. “So now the US Gov has reopened, what’s next?” Pal asks. He immediately points to the Treasury General Account (TGA): “Expect a few days for TGA spending to begin to significantly add to liquidity and should persist for several months.Obviously, QT ends in Dec and the balance sheet will crawl higher. We should see the dollar begin to weaken again.” Mechanically, TGA drawdowns push cash back into bank reserves and money markets, reversing the reserve drain that built up while the government was partially shut. At the same time, the Federal Reserve has already confirmed that quantitative tightening (QT) will end on December 1, 2025, shifting from active balance-sheet reduction to full reinvestment of maturing Treasuries and a more “maintenance” stance. When Will Crypto Prices Rise Again? Pal’s point is that both channels tilt the system toward more dollars sloshing through funding markets, a backdrop he has long argued is constructive for risk assets, including crypto. The near-term risk, in his view, is a classic year-end funding squeeze. “The next key step is to avoid a Year End funding squeeze. Expect several ‘temporary’ measures to add liquidity. Term Funding and SRF operations are most likely.” Related Reading: SEC Chair Sets Out Plans For Crypto Taxonomy To Define Digital Asset Classification Here he is referring to term repo or funding facilities and the Standing Repo Facility (SRF), which the Fed can scale up to backstop banks’ access to cash if overnight rates spike. That reading aligns with recent Fed communication that elevated SRF usage and tighter money-market conditions were central reasons for ending QT early. Pal then escalates from tactical tools to structural regulation: “That will eventually morph into the desperately needed changes to the SLR to allow banks to absorb more issuance and re-lever their balance sheets. This is a big liquidity bazooka. Expect in Q1. SLR should lower rates as banks buy more bonds.” The Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) caps large banks’ overall balance-sheet size, regardless of asset risk. Loosening it for Treasuries and reserves has been debated for years as a way to let dealers warehouse more government debt without breaching constraints. If regulators move in that direction, it would, as Pal notes, free capacity for banks to buy more bonds and could exert downward pressure on yields—again easing financial conditions. Related Reading: The 2025 Year-End Crypto Outlook: The Catalysts That Will Decide Everything For crypto, that matters indirectly: Pal’s core macro thesis is that improving liquidity and lower real yields are the primary tailwinds for digital assets. Regulation is explicitly on his radar too: “Also expect CLARITY Act for crypto to begin to get finalized.” The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (“CLARITY Act”) has already passed the US House and is now before the Senate. It would define digital asset categories and divide oversight between the CFTC and SEC, replacing much of the current “regulation by enforcement” model. Pal’s remark signals his expectation that the shutdown’s end clears the way for renewed legislative momentum – a key piece of the institutional puzzle for non-bitcoin crypto. He closes by broadening the lens to global and fiscal policy: “There will also be stimulus payments and the Big Beautiful Bill fiscal goosing. China will continue balance sheet expansion. Europe will add fiscal stimulus or extra spending. The debts must be rolled and the Gov wants to super heat the economy into the Mid-Terms. This is the Liquidity Flood…. the spice must flow.” Taken together, Pal is describing a synchronised regime: post-shutdown TGA spending, the end of QT, potential SLR relief, progressing US crypto legislation, and ongoing fiscal and monetary support in China and Europe. For crypto investors who share his liquidity-centric lens, the message is not subtle: the macro “spice,” in his view, is about to flow again. At press time, the total crypto market cap dropped to $3.24 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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