The post USD mixed to marginally lower – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US Dollar (USD) is mixed but tracking a little lower overall as the Dollar Index (DXY) continues to drift back from the 99 zone where the index appears to have peaked after its latest run higher, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report. Markets await FOMC Wednesday The Japanese Yen (JPY) is the top-performer on the session among the majors and now looks to have set a short-term peak in the low 153 zone. President Trump’s visit to Japan saw the two countries reaffirm their relationship and agree to co-operate on rare earths. The president welcomed plans to boost defence spending. The Japanese government said it will continue to monitor the impact of yen weakness on the economy, helping lift the JPY. The JPY is still lagging the recent narrowing in US/Japan rate spreads by a significant margin.” “A sustained pickup in the JPY in the short run could see spot retest recent lows just under 150–which could trigger a deeper JPY rebound. Regional FX has been pulled higher on the JPY’s coattails. While the CNY is lagging some of its Asian peers, the USD has eased below the CNY7.10 level to its lowest in a year which may represent a broader headwind for the USD. With few notable developments elsewhere, markets have little to do but idle ahead of Wednesday’s Fed policy decision. Global stocks are mixed to slightly weaker while major bond markets are mostly firmer. Gold continues to soften, down nearly 2% on the session and nearing $3900.” “There is a little US data to focus on but second-tier housing data at 9ET, followed by the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index and consumer confidence data at 10ET are unlikely to move the markets significantly. Regional manufacturing survey data for October so far have been… The post USD mixed to marginally lower – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US Dollar (USD) is mixed but tracking a little lower overall as the Dollar Index (DXY) continues to drift back from the 99 zone where the index appears to have peaked after its latest run higher, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report. Markets await FOMC Wednesday The Japanese Yen (JPY) is the top-performer on the session among the majors and now looks to have set a short-term peak in the low 153 zone. President Trump’s visit to Japan saw the two countries reaffirm their relationship and agree to co-operate on rare earths. The president welcomed plans to boost defence spending. The Japanese government said it will continue to monitor the impact of yen weakness on the economy, helping lift the JPY. The JPY is still lagging the recent narrowing in US/Japan rate spreads by a significant margin.” “A sustained pickup in the JPY in the short run could see spot retest recent lows just under 150–which could trigger a deeper JPY rebound. Regional FX has been pulled higher on the JPY’s coattails. While the CNY is lagging some of its Asian peers, the USD has eased below the CNY7.10 level to its lowest in a year which may represent a broader headwind for the USD. With few notable developments elsewhere, markets have little to do but idle ahead of Wednesday’s Fed policy decision. Global stocks are mixed to slightly weaker while major bond markets are mostly firmer. Gold continues to soften, down nearly 2% on the session and nearing $3900.” “There is a little US data to focus on but second-tier housing data at 9ET, followed by the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index and consumer confidence data at 10ET are unlikely to move the markets significantly. Regional manufacturing survey data for October so far have been…

USD mixed to marginally lower – Scotiabank

2025/10/29 02:18

The US Dollar (USD) is mixed but tracking a little lower overall as the Dollar Index (DXY) continues to drift back from the 99 zone where the index appears to have peaked after its latest run higher, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

Markets await FOMC Wednesday

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is the top-performer on the session among the majors and now looks to have set a short-term peak in the low 153 zone. President Trump’s visit to Japan saw the two countries reaffirm their relationship and agree to co-operate on rare earths. The president welcomed plans to boost defence spending. The Japanese government said it will continue to monitor the impact of yen weakness on the economy, helping lift the JPY. The JPY is still lagging the recent narrowing in US/Japan rate spreads by a significant margin.”

“A sustained pickup in the JPY in the short run could see spot retest recent lows just under 150–which could trigger a deeper JPY rebound. Regional FX has been pulled higher on the JPY’s coattails. While the CNY is lagging some of its Asian peers, the USD has eased below the CNY7.10 level to its lowest in a year which may represent a broader headwind for the USD. With few notable developments elsewhere, markets have little to do but idle ahead of Wednesday’s Fed policy decision. Global stocks are mixed to slightly weaker while major bond markets are mostly firmer. Gold continues to soften, down nearly 2% on the session and nearing $3900.”

“There is a little US data to focus on but second-tier housing data at 9ET, followed by the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index and consumer confidence data at 10ET are unlikely to move the markets significantly. Regional manufacturing survey data for October so far have been mixed but may suggest some further slowing in the national ISM Manufacturing index (reported at 49.1 in September) when the latest data are released on November 3. Australia releases inflation data this evening at 20.30ET. RBNZ Governor Hawkesby speaks on central bank independence. The RBNZ was a pioneer in the move to central bank independence when it adopted inflation targeting around 1990 so it might have something to say on the matter.”

Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-mixed-to-marginally-lower-scotiabank-202510281419

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Preliminary analysis of the Balancer V2 attack, which resulted in a loss of $120 million.

Preliminary analysis of the Balancer V2 attack, which resulted in a loss of $120 million.

On November 3, the Balancer V2 protocol and its fork projects were attacked on multiple chains, resulting in a serious loss of more than $120 million. BlockSec issued an early warning at the first opportunity [1] and gave a preliminary analysis conclusion [2]. This was a highly complex attack. Our preliminary analysis showed that the root cause was that the attacker manipulated the invariant, thereby distorting the calculation of the price of BPT (Balancer Pool Token) -- that is, the LP token of Balancer Pool -- so that it could profit in a stable pool through a batchSwap operation. Background Information 1. Scaling and Rounding To standardize the decimal places of different tokens, the Balancer contract will: upscale: Upscales the balance and amount to a uniform internal precision before performing the calculation; downscale: Reduces the result to its original precision and performs directional rounding (e.g., inputs are usually rounded up to ensure the pool is not under-filled; output paths are often truncated downwards). Conclusion: Within the same transaction, the asymmetrical rounding direction used in different stages can lead to a systematic slight deviation when executed repeatedly in very small steps. 2. Prices of D and BPT The Balancer V2 protocol’s Composable Stable Pool[3] and the fork protocol were affected by this attack. Stable Pool is used for assets that are expected to maintain a close 1:1 exchange ratio (or be exchanged at a known exchange rate), allowing large exchanges without causing significant price shocks, thereby greatly improving the efficiency of capital utilization between similar or related assets. The pool uses the Stable Math (a Curve-based StableSwap model), where the invariant D represents the pool's "virtual total value". The approximate price of BPT (Pool's LP Token) is: The formula above shows that if D is made smaller on paper (even if no funds are actually withdrawn), the price of BPT will be cheaper. BTP represents the pool share and is used to calculate how many pool reserves can be obtained when withdrawing liquidity. Therefore, if an attacker can obtain more BPT, they can profit when withdrawing liquidity. Attack Analysis Taking an attack transaction on Arbitrum as an example, the batchSwap operation can be divided into three stages: Phase 1: The attacker redeems BPT for the underlying asset to precisely adjust the balance of one of the tokens (cbETH) to a critical point (amount = 9) for rounding. This step sets the stage for the precision loss in the next phase. Phase Two: The attacker uses a carefully crafted quantity (= 8) to swap between another underlying asset (wstETH) and cbETH. Due to rounding down when scaling the token quantity, the calculated Δx is slightly smaller (from 8.918 to 8), causing Δy to be underestimated and the invariant D (derived from Curve's StableSwap model) to be smaller. Since BPT price = D / totalSupply, the BPT price is artificially suppressed. Phase 3: The attackers reverse-swap the underlying assets back to BPT, restoring the balance within the pool while profiting from the depressed price of BPT—acquiring more BPT tokens. Finally, the attacker used another profitable transaction to withdraw liquidity, thereby using the extra BPT to acquire other underlying assets (cbETH and wstETH) in the Pool and thus profit. Attacking the transaction: https://app.blocksec.com/explorer/tx/arbitrum/0x7da32ebc615d0f29a24cacf9d18254bea3a2c730084c690ee40238b1d8b55773 Profitable trades: https://app.blocksec.com/explorer/tx/arbitrum/0x4e5be713d986bcf4afb2ba7362525622acf9c95310bd77cd5911e7ef12d871a9 Reference: [1]https://x.com/Phalcon_xyz/status/1985262010347696312 [2]https://x.com/Phalcon_xyz/status/1985302779263643915 [3]https://docs-v2.balancer.fi/concepts/pools/composable-stable.html
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PANews2025/11/04 14:00