NEAR Price Prediction: Oversold Conditions Could Drive Recovery to $1.50 by March 2026
Iris Coleman Feb 03, 2026 11:10
NEAR Protocol trades at $1.19 in deeply oversold territory with RSI at 26.70. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $1.50-$1.85 range by March 2026 if support holds.
NEAR Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.27 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.50-$1.85 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.47 • Critical support: $1.16
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About NEAR Protocol
While specific analyst predictions are limited, recent analysis from February 2, 2026, by Ted Hisokawa suggests that NEAR Protocol is trading in oversold territory with an RSI of 28.29. The analysis indicates a potential recovery to the $1.50–$1.85 range by March 2026, provided that support holds at $1.16.
According to on-chain data from major exchanges, NEAR Protocol has shown resilience despite the recent selling pressure, with 24-hour trading volume maintaining healthy levels at $17.4 million on Binance alone.
NEAR Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current NEAR price prediction is heavily influenced by oversold technical conditions. NEAR Protocol is trading at $1.19, showing a modest 0.68% gain in the last 24 hours despite broader market pressure.
The RSI indicator at 26.70 signals deeply oversold conditions, historically indicating potential bounce opportunities. The MACD histogram sits at 0.0000, suggesting bearish momentum may be stabilizing rather than accelerating downward.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals NEAR is positioned at just 0.10 on the band scale, placing it very close to the lower band at $1.12. This positioning often precedes mean reversion moves toward the middle band at $1.47.
Key moving averages paint a bearish picture with NEAR trading below all major timeframes: SMA 7 at $1.28, SMA 20 at $1.47, and critically below the SMA 200 at $2.22. However, the proximity to the SMA 7 suggests near-term resistance once momentum shifts.
NEAR Protocol Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The NEAR Protocol forecast becomes optimistic if the token can reclaim the $1.23 immediate resistance level. A successful break above this level could trigger a rally toward the SMA 7 at $1.28, representing the first major hurdle.
Beyond $1.28, the path opens to test the middle Bollinger Band at $1.47, aligning with the SMA 20. This level represents the key bullish breakout point that could extend gains to the $1.50-$1.85 range as suggested by recent technical analysis.
The upper Bollinger Band at $1.81 serves as the ultimate bullish target, requiring sustained buying pressure and broader market cooperation.
Bearish Scenario
The NEAR price prediction turns concerning if immediate support at $1.16 fails to hold. A breakdown below this level would likely accelerate selling toward the strong support at $1.13.
Further deterioration could see NEAR testing the lower Bollinger Band at $1.12, where oversold conditions might finally attract buyers. However, a break below $1.12 would signal a continuation of the broader downtrend, potentially targeting psychological support near $1.00.
The bearish scenario remains valid as long as NEAR trades below the SMA 20 at $1.47, indicating the prevailing downtrend remains intact.
Should You Buy NEAR? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical conditions, the NEAR Protocol forecast suggests a staged entry approach. Conservative buyers should wait for confirmation above $1.23 to signal the end of immediate selling pressure.
Aggressive traders might consider accumulating near the $1.16 support level, with a tight stop-loss below $1.13 to limit downside risk. The risk-reward ratio favors buyers at these oversold levels, particularly given the proximity to key support zones.
Position sizing should remain conservative given the broader market uncertainty, with recommended allocation not exceeding 2-3% of total portfolio value. The daily ATR of $0.09 indicates moderate volatility, suggesting swing trading opportunities for active traders.
Conclusion
The NEAR price prediction for the coming weeks hinges on the ability to maintain support above $1.16. While deeply oversold conditions favor a technical bounce, broader market sentiment will likely dictate the sustainability of any recovery.
The medium-term NEAR Protocol forecast of $1.50-$1.85 by March 2026 appears achievable if current support levels hold and the cryptocurrency market experiences a broader recovery. However, traders should remain cautious and implement proper risk management strategies.
Disclaimer: This NEAR price prediction is based on technical analysis and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
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