(Market Data)
· BTC Price: $63,429 (24h -0.51%)
· Funding Rate: +0.0067%
· Fear & Greed Index: 37 (Fear)
(Key Events Ahead)
· U.S. July CPI data will be released tonight at 8:30 PM. Headline CPI is expected to rise 0.1% MoM, while core CPI is projected to increase 0.2% MoM, bringing their respective YoY increases to 3.4% and 2.5%. The market is currently pricing in a roughly 50% probability of a September rate hike.
(BTC · Extreme Sentiment)
· BTC is trading at $63,429 (24h -0.51%), while the Fear & Greed Index stands at 37 (Fear). Futures open interest continues to rise, but on-chain spot demand remains in net-negative territory, indicating that the rally is primarily driven by leveraged capital rather than genuine buying demand.
· Key Catalyst: The futures-driven rally lacks spot-market support. Overheated leveraged positions, combined with tonight’s CPI release, may amplify market volatility.
(U.S. Treasuries · High Volatility)
· The 10-year U.S. Treasury futures price is trading around 108.72, while CTAs maintain elevated short positions. The short-covering trigger stands at 109.41, with a higher trigger at 110.21. Tonight’s CPI data could trigger short covering and amplify volatility in the bond market.
· Key Catalyst: Elevated CTA short positions coincide with a key macroeconomic data release. If the data exceeds expectations, short covering could push Treasury prices higher and create spillover effects across risk assets.
(Gold/Silver · Geopolitical Hedge)
· COMEX gold futures rose 0.49% to $4,383 per ounce, while silver futures declined 0.5% to $64.769 per ounce. Citigroup forecasts a silver price target of $95 per ounce for 2027, with silver offering greater volatility potential as a high-beta asset.
· Key Catalyst: Easing geopolitical risks are driving capital back into precious metals. Silver’s higher volatility relative to gold makes it a more aggressive expression of the upside trend.
(Riot · Earnings-Driven)
· Bitcoin miner Riot closed 4.33% higher at $20.35 after reaching a $9.1 billion AI computing agreement with Anthropic. Riot will provide 191MW of computing capacity at its Rockdale facility in Texas under a 20-year contract.
· Key Catalyst: The miner’s transition into AI computing has secured a long-term contract, highlighting the broader shift among crypto miners toward higher-value computing resources.
(No abnormal capital movements)
(Regulation/Sanctions/Licenses)
· The CFTC invoked emergency powers to order prediction market platform Kalshi to continue operating in New York State, countering a lawsuit by the New York State Attorney General seeking to shut down the platform. The CFTC Chair emphasized that prediction markets are federally regulated swap products.
(Security Incidents)
· The SEC and CFTC jointly sued Goliath Ventures and its founder, alleging that they operated a crypto Ponzi scheme through unregistered securities offerings. The scheme raised at least $425 million from more than 1,300 investors by promising monthly returns of 3%–10%, while allegedly investing none of the funds. The founder personally misappropriated at least $51 million, with total customer losses reaching $397 million.
· Layer1 project Harmony is suspected of suffering an attack in which an attacker exploited an empty-block vulnerability to mint approximately 4 billion ONE tokens without authorization, representing around 26% of the total supply. Approximately 2.8 billion tokens were transferred to trading platforms, while ONE fell 25.81% over 24 hours to $0.00092.
〔Global/Universal〕
· ESPT VIP Cumulative Campaign (Futures)
· Upgraded User Rewards Center Tasks – August (Futures)
· Alpha User August Merchandise Benefits Collection Page (Futures)
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Recommended Reading: MEXC On-Chain Daily Report: Fidelity Plans Staking for $898M Ethereum ETF
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